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Vistra Corp.
VSTUtilitiesNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $16.97B | 5.6% | $950.43M | $135.78M | N/A |
| 2027 | $17.41B | 5.6% | $975.14M | $139.31M | $126.64M |
| 2028 | $17.87B | 5.6% | $1.00B | $142.93M | $118.12M |
| 2029 | $18.33B | 5.6% | $1.03B | $146.64M | $110.18M |
| 2030 | $18.81B | 5.6% | $1.05B | $150.46M | $102.76M |
| 2031 | $19.30B | 5.6% | $1.08B | $154.37M | $95.85M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.21 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.172 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 58.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $9.984 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $6.20 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $4.34 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $3.10 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$47.903 | -$47.295 | -$46.464 |
| 10.0% | -$48.522 | -$48.073 | -$47.486 |
| 11.0% | -$49.01 | -$48.668 | -$48.235 |