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Zogenix, Inc.
ZGNXHealthcareNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $81.69M | 1.0% | $816.9K | -$40.84M | N/A |
| 2027 | $89.86M | 1.0% | $898.6K | -$44.93M | -$40.84M |
| 2028 | $98.84M | 1.0% | $988.4K | -$49.42M | -$40.84M |
| 2029 | $108.73M | 1.0% | $1.09M | -$54.36M | -$40.84M |
| 2030 | $119.60M | 1.0% | $1.20M | -$59.80M | -$40.84M |
| 2031 | $131.56M | 1.0% | $1.32M | -$65.78M | -$40.84M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$4.24 | 2021-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -8.7% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$20.039 | -$22.962 | -$26.949 |
| 10.0% | -$17.086 | -$19.242 | -$22.06 |
| 11.0% | -$14.759 | -$16.40 | -$18.479 |