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Yatsen Holding Limited
YSGConsumer CyclicalNYSECN
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $4.18B | 1.0% | $41.81M | -$137.97M | N/A |
| 2027 | $4.58B | 1.0% | $45.78M | -$151.08M | -$137.35M |
| 2028 | $5.01B | 1.0% | $50.13M | -$165.43M | -$136.72M |
| 2029 | $5.49B | 1.0% | $54.89M | -$181.15M | -$136.10M |
| 2030 | $6.01B | 1.0% | $60.11M | -$198.36M | -$135.48M |
| 2031 | $6.58B | 1.0% | $65.82M | -$217.20M | -$134.87M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$0.84 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$1.819 | -$2.151 | -$2.603 |
| 10.0% | -$1.484 | -$1.729 | -$2.048 |
| 11.0% | -$1.22 | -$1.406 | -$1.642 |