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Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd.
XINReal EstateNYSECN
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $514.67M | 1.0% | $5.15M | $17.50M | N/A |
| 2027 | $506.95M | 1.0% | $5.07M | $17.24M | $15.67M |
| 2028 | $499.35M | 1.0% | $4.99M | $16.98M | $14.03M |
| 2029 | $491.86M | 1.0% | $4.92M | $16.72M | $12.56M |
| 2030 | $484.48M | 1.0% | $4.84M | $16.47M | $11.25M |
| 2031 | $477.22M | 1.0% | $4.77M | $16.23M | $10.07M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$181.80 | 2024-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$3,796.287 | -$3,734.218 | -$3,649.579 |
| 10.0% | -$3,859.601 | -$3,813.839 | -$3,753.997 |
| 11.0% | -$3,909.62 | -$3,874.776 | -$3,830.641 |