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Xcel Brands, Inc.
XELBConsumer CyclicalNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $4.94M | 1.0% | $49.4K | -$2.47M | N/A |
| 2027 | $6.91M | 1.0% | $69.1K | -$3.46M | -$3.14M |
| 2028 | $9.68M | 1.0% | $96.8K | -$4.84M | -$4.00M |
| 2029 | $13.55M | 1.0% | $135.5K | -$6.78M | -$5.09M |
| 2030 | $18.97M | 1.0% | $189.7K | -$9.49M | -$6.48M |
| 2031 | $26.56M | 1.0% | $265.6K | -$13.28M | -$8.25M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$5.08 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +48.4% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$87.521 | -$97.976 | -$112.232 |
| 10.0% | -$77.113 | -$84.821 | -$94.90 |
| 11.0% | -$68.936 | -$74.804 | -$82.238 |