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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $13.41B | 21.0% | $2.82B | -$1.45B | N/A |
| 2027 | $16.21B | 21.0% | $3.40B | -$1.75B | -$1.59B |
| 2028 | $19.60B | 21.0% | $4.12B | -$2.12B | -$1.75B |
| 2029 | $23.70B | 21.0% | $4.98B | -$2.56B | -$1.92B |
| 2030 | $28.65B | 21.0% | $6.02B | -$3.09B | -$2.11B |
| 2031 | $34.64B | 21.0% | $7.27B | -$3.74B | -$2.32B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $1.47 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -21.3% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.444 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 10.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $4.749 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $2.949 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $2.064 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1.474 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$37.773 | -$41.683 | -$47.016 |
| 10.0% | -$33.849 | -$36.732 | -$40.503 |
| 11.0% | -$30.761 | -$32.956 | -$35.737 |