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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $123.53B | 17.3% | $21.37B | -$19.02B | N/A |
| 2027 | $130.08B | 17.3% | $22.50B | -$20.03B | -$18.21B |
| 2028 | $136.97B | 17.3% | $23.70B | -$21.09B | -$17.43B |
| 2029 | $144.23B | 17.3% | $24.95B | -$22.21B | -$16.69B |
| 2030 | $151.87B | 17.3% | $26.27B | -$23.39B | -$15.97B |
| 2031 | $159.92B | 17.3% | $27.67B | -$24.63B | -$15.29B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $6.32 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +17.7% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $14.276 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 13.9 | P/E |
| Future price | $198.43 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $123.21 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $86.248 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $61.606 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$70.977 | -$80.874 | -$94.371 |
| 10.0% | -$60.944 | -$68.242 | -$77.784 |
| 11.0% | -$53.03 | -$58.586 | -$65.624 |