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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $40.00B | 50.1% | $20.04B | $21.56B | N/A |
| 2027 | $42.32B | 50.1% | $21.20B | $22.81B | $20.74B |
| 2028 | $44.77B | 50.1% | $22.43B | $24.13B | $19.95B |
| 2029 | $47.37B | 50.1% | $23.73B | $25.53B | $19.18B |
| 2030 | $50.12B | 50.1% | $25.11B | $27.01B | $18.45B |
| 2031 | $53.03B | 50.1% | $26.57B | $28.58B | $17.75B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $10.20 | 2025-09-30 |
| EPS growth | +4.9% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $12.956 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 33.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $428.85 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $266.28 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $186.40 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $133.14 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $169.30 | $189.57 | $217.21 |
| 10.0% | $148.76 | $163.71 | $183.25 |
| 11.0% | $132.56 | $143.94 | $158.35 |