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Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc.
USAPBasic MaterialsNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $285.94M | 1.7% | $4.86M | $12.30M | N/A |
| 2027 | $279.65M | 1.7% | $4.75M | $12.03M | $10.93M |
| 2028 | $273.50M | 1.7% | $4.65M | $11.76M | $9.72M |
| 2029 | $267.48M | 1.7% | $4.55M | $11.50M | $8.64M |
| 2030 | $261.60M | 1.7% | $4.45M | $11.25M | $7.68M |
| 2031 | $255.84M | 1.7% | $4.35M | $11.00M | $6.83M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.53 | 2023-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $5.557 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 37.2 | P/E |
| Future price | $206.74 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $128.37 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $89.857 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $64.184 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $13.88 | $17.822 | $23.198 |
| 10.0% | $9.856 | $12.762 | $16.563 |
| 11.0% | $6.676 | $8.889 | $11.692 |