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United Parcel Service, Inc.
UPSIndustrialsNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $88.66B | 6.3% | $5.59B | $4.79B | N/A |
| 2027 | $94.60B | 6.3% | $5.96B | $5.11B | $4.64B |
| 2028 | $100.94B | 6.3% | $6.36B | $5.45B | $4.50B |
| 2029 | $107.70B | 6.3% | $6.79B | $5.82B | $4.37B |
| 2030 | $114.92B | 6.3% | $7.24B | $6.21B | $4.24B |
| 2031 | $122.62B | 6.3% | $7.72B | $6.62B | $4.11B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $6.56 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -3.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $5.633 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 15.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $85.063 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $52.817 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $36.972 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $26.409 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $69.989 | $82.391 | $99.302 |
| 10.0% | $57.432 | $66.576 | $78.533 |
| 11.0% | $47.529 | $54.491 | $63.31 |