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Union Pacific Corporation
UNPIndustrialsNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $24.51B | 29.1% | $7.13B | $5.49B | N/A |
| 2027 | $26.08B | 29.1% | $7.59B | $5.84B | $5.31B |
| 2028 | $27.75B | 29.1% | $8.07B | $6.22B | $5.14B |
| 2029 | $29.52B | 29.1% | $8.59B | $6.61B | $4.97B |
| 2030 | $31.41B | 29.1% | $9.14B | $7.04B | $4.81B |
| 2031 | $33.42B | 29.1% | $9.73B | $7.49B | $4.65B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $11.97 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +8.2% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $17.751 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 19.2 | P/E |
| Future price | $340.83 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $211.63 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $148.14 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $105.81 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $121.42 | $143.04 | $172.52 |
| 10.0% | $99.531 | $115.47 | $136.31 |
| 11.0% | $82.264 | $94.399 | $109.77 |