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Universal Music Group N.V.
UMGNFCommunication ServicesOTCNL
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $12.50B | 12.3% | $1.54B | $1.61B | N/A |
| 2027 | $13.53B | 12.3% | $1.66B | $1.75B | $1.59B |
| 2028 | $14.64B | 12.3% | $1.80B | $1.89B | $1.56B |
| 2029 | $15.84B | 12.3% | $1.95B | $2.04B | $1.53B |
| 2030 | $17.14B | 12.3% | $2.11B | $2.21B | $1.51B |
| 2031 | $18.54B | 12.3% | $2.28B | $2.39B | $1.49B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.83 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -27.2% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.17 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 26.4 | P/E |
| Future price | $4.481 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $2.782 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1.947 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1.391 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $13.106 | $14.886 | $17.312 |
| 10.0% | $11.307 | $12.619 | $14.334 |
| 11.0% | $9.888 | $10.887 | $12.152 |