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Ulta Beauty, Inc.
ULTAConsumer CyclicalNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $12.39B | 9.3% | $1.15B | $1.07B | N/A |
| 2027 | $13.47B | 9.3% | $1.25B | $1.16B | $1.05B |
| 2028 | $14.64B | 9.3% | $1.36B | $1.26B | $1.04B |
| 2029 | $15.92B | 9.3% | $1.48B | $1.37B | $1.03B |
| 2030 | $17.30B | 9.3% | $1.61B | $1.49B | $1.02B |
| 2031 | $18.81B | 9.3% | $1.75B | $1.62B | $1.00B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $25.64 | 2026-01-31 |
| EPS growth | +1.1% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $27.082 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 25.2 | P/E |
| Future price | $682.46 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $423.75 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $296.63 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $211.88 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $286.78 | $324.59 | $376.16 |
| 10.0% | $248.54 | $276.43 | $312.89 |
| 11.0% | $218.40 | $239.63 | $266.52 |