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Ultrapar Participações S.A.
UGPEnergyNYSEBR
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $142.37B | 1.7% | $2.42B | $1.57B | N/A |
| 2027 | $151.05B | 1.7% | $2.57B | $1.66B | $1.51B |
| 2028 | $160.27B | 1.7% | $2.72B | $1.76B | $1.46B |
| 2029 | $170.04B | 1.7% | $2.89B | $1.87B | $1.41B |
| 2030 | $180.42B | 1.7% | $3.07B | $1.98B | $1.36B |
| 2031 | $191.42B | 1.7% | $3.25B | $2.11B | $1.31B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.19 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +5.1% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $2.808 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 9 | P/E |
| Future price | $25.276 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $15.694 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $10.986 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $7.847 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $2.39 | $3.058 | $3.968 |
| 10.0% | $1.713 | $2.206 | $2.85 |
| 11.0% | $1.18 | $1.555 | $2.029 |