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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $475.00B | 12.4% | $58.90B | -$26.60B | N/A |
| 2027 | $489.73B | 12.4% | $60.73B | -$27.42B | -$24.93B |
| 2028 | $504.91B | 12.4% | $62.61B | -$28.27B | -$23.37B |
| 2029 | $520.56B | 12.4% | $64.55B | -$29.15B | -$21.90B |
| 2030 | $536.70B | 12.4% | $66.55B | -$30.05B | -$20.53B |
| 2031 | $553.33B | 12.4% | $68.61B | -$30.99B | -$19.24B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $283.90 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -10.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $167.64 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | $670.56 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $416.37 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $291.46 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $208.18 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$8,235.88 | -$8,470.886 | -$8,791.348 |
| 10.0% | -$7,997.22 | -$8,170.484 | -$8,397.059 |
| 11.0% | -$7,808.866 | -$7,940.791 | -$8,107.895 |