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Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
TWGConsumer DefensiveNASDAQHK
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $9.13M | 34.9% | $3.19M | -$794.3K | N/A |
| 2027 | $10.04M | 34.9% | $3.50M | -$873.7K | -$794.3K |
| 2028 | $11.05M | 34.9% | $3.86M | -$961.1K | -$794.3K |
| 2029 | $12.15M | 34.9% | $4.24M | -$1.06M | -$794.3K |
| 2030 | $13.37M | 34.9% | $4.67M | -$1.16M | -$794.3K |
| 2031 | $14.70M | 34.9% | $5.13M | -$1.28M | -$794.3K |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.50 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $5.243 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | $20.972 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $13.022 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $9.115 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $6.511 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$17.106 | -$19.218 | -$22.098 |
| 10.0% | -$14.973 | -$16.53 | -$18.566 |
| 11.0% | -$13.292 | -$14.477 | -$15.979 |