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Treasury Wine Estates Limited
TSRYYConsumer DefensiveOTCAU
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.94B | 14.9% | $437.78M | $387.83M | N/A |
| 2027 | $3.07B | 14.9% | $457.48M | $405.28M | $368.44M |
| 2028 | $3.21B | 14.9% | $478.06M | $423.52M | $350.02M |
| 2029 | $3.35B | 14.9% | $499.58M | $442.58M | $332.52M |
| 2030 | $3.50B | 14.9% | $522.06M | $462.49M | $315.89M |
| 2031 | $3.66B | 14.9% | $545.55M | $483.31M | $300.09M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.54 | 2025-06-30 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $5.662 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 14.3 | P/E |
| Future price | $80.971 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $50.277 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $35.194 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $25.138 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $2.146 | $2.506 | $2.996 |
| 10.0% | $1.781 | $2.046 | $2.393 |
| 11.0% | $1.494 | $1.695 | $1.951 |