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Tesla, Inc.
TSLAConsumer CyclicalNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $94.83B | 4.0% | $3.79B | $6.26B | N/A |
| 2027 | $100.71B | 4.0% | $4.03B | $6.65B | $6.04B |
| 2028 | $106.95B | 4.0% | $4.28B | $7.06B | $5.83B |
| 2029 | $113.58B | 4.0% | $4.54B | $7.50B | $5.63B |
| 2030 | $120.62B | 4.0% | $4.82B | $7.96B | $5.44B |
| 2031 | $128.10B | 4.0% | $5.12B | $8.45B | $5.25B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $1.08 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.084 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 382.3 | P/E |
| Future price | $32.106 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $19.935 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $13.955 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $9.968 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $37.476 | $40.788 | $45.305 |
| 10.0% | $34.121 | $36.563 | $39.757 |
| 11.0% | $31.475 | $33.334 | $35.689 |