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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $140.82B | 1.0% | $1.41B | -$11.69B | N/A |
| 2027 | $144.35B | 1.0% | $1.44B | -$11.98B | -$10.89B |
| 2028 | $147.95B | 1.0% | $1.48B | -$12.28B | -$10.15B |
| 2029 | $151.65B | 1.0% | $1.52B | -$12.59B | -$9.46B |
| 2030 | $155.44B | 1.0% | $1.55B | -$12.90B | -$8.81B |
| 2031 | $159.33B | 1.0% | $1.59B | -$13.22B | -$8.21B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $22.37 | 2026-03-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $1.739 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 117.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $204.74 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $127.13 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $88.988 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $63.563 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$14.277 | -$16.343 | -$19.159 |
| 10.0% | -$12.179 | -$13.702 | -$15.693 |
| 11.0% | -$10.523 | -$11.682 | -$13.151 |