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Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited
TSGTYConsumer DefensiveOTCCN
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $29.48B | 15.1% | $4.45B | $2.83B | N/A |
| 2027 | $30.92B | 15.1% | $4.67B | $2.97B | $2.70B |
| 2028 | $32.43B | 15.1% | $4.90B | $3.11B | $2.57B |
| 2029 | $34.02B | 15.1% | $5.14B | $3.27B | $2.45B |
| 2030 | $35.69B | 15.1% | $5.39B | $3.43B | $2.34B |
| 2031 | $37.44B | 15.1% | $5.65B | $3.59B | $2.23B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $16.35 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +2.5% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $18.499 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 13.6 | P/E |
| Future price | $251.58 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $156.21 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $109.35 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $78.106 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $36.024 | $38.998 | $43.055 |
| 10.0% | $33.007 | $35.201 | $38.069 |
| 11.0% | $30.628 | $32.298 | $34.413 |