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Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited
TSGTFConsumer DefensiveOTCCN
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $29.52B | 15.1% | $4.46B | $2.83B | N/A |
| 2027 | $30.76B | 15.1% | $4.64B | $2.95B | $2.68B |
| 2028 | $32.05B | 15.1% | $4.84B | $3.08B | $2.54B |
| 2029 | $33.40B | 15.1% | $5.04B | $3.21B | $2.41B |
| 2030 | $34.80B | 15.1% | $5.25B | $3.34B | $2.28B |
| 2031 | $36.26B | 15.1% | $5.48B | $3.48B | $2.16B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $3.29 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +3.1% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $3.833 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 13.4 | P/E |
| Future price | $51.356 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $31.888 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $22.322 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $15.944 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $6.305 | $6.819 | $7.52 |
| 10.0% | $5.783 | $6.162 | $6.658 |
| 11.0% | $5.372 | $5.66 | $6.026 |