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Texas Pacific Land Corporation
TPLEnergyNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $798.19M | 60.3% | $481.31M | $478.91M | N/A |
| 2027 | $899.56M | 60.3% | $542.43M | $539.74M | $490.67M |
| 2028 | $1.01B | 60.3% | $611.32M | $608.28M | $502.71M |
| 2029 | $1.14B | 60.3% | $688.96M | $685.53M | $515.05M |
| 2030 | $1.29B | 60.3% | $776.46M | $772.60M | $527.69M |
| 2031 | $1.45B | 60.3% | $875.07M | $870.72M | $540.65M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $6.97 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +6.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $9.327 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 41.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $383.36 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $238.03 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $166.62 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $119.02 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $205.11 | $230.02 | $263.98 |
| 10.0% | $180.00 | $198.36 | $222.38 |
| 11.0% | $160.22 | $174.20 | $191.91 |