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Turning Point Brands, Inc.
TPBConsumer DefensiveNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $463.06M | 12.6% | $58.35M | $43.99M | N/A |
| 2027 | $648.29M | 12.6% | $81.68M | $61.59M | $55.99M |
| 2028 | $907.60M | 12.6% | $114.36M | $86.22M | $71.26M |
| 2029 | $1.27B | 12.6% | $160.10M | $120.71M | $90.69M |
| 2030 | $1.78B | 12.6% | $224.14M | $169.00M | $115.43M |
| 2031 | $2.49B | 12.6% | $313.80M | $236.59M | $146.91M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $3.11 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +42.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $17.956 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 34.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $612.29 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $380.18 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $266.13 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $190.09 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $108.58 | $123.57 | $144.01 |
| 10.0% | $93.658 | $104.71 | $119.16 |
| 11.0% | $81.935 | $90.349 | $101.01 |