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Toll Brothers, Inc.
TOLConsumer CyclicalNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $10.97B | 12.3% | $1.35B | $1.03B | N/A |
| 2027 | $11.70B | 12.3% | $1.44B | $1.10B | $999.95M |
| 2028 | $12.49B | 12.3% | $1.54B | $1.17B | $969.95M |
| 2029 | $13.32B | 12.3% | $1.64B | $1.25B | $940.85M |
| 2030 | $14.21B | 12.3% | $1.75B | $1.34B | $912.62M |
| 2031 | $15.17B | 12.3% | $1.87B | $1.43B | $885.24M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $13.49 | 2025-10-31 |
| EPS growth | -10.3% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $7.834 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 9.9 | P/E |
| Future price | $77.555 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $48.156 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $33.709 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $24.078 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $162.31 | $183.70 | $212.87 |
| 10.0% | $140.65 | $156.42 | $177.04 |
| 11.0% | $123.57 | $135.57 | $150.78 |