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Toagosei Co., Ltd.
TOAGFBasic MaterialsOTCJP
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $162.45B | 7.9% | $12.83B | -$5.69B | N/A |
| 2027 | $158.88B | 7.9% | $12.55B | -$5.56B | -$5.06B |
| 2028 | $155.38B | 7.9% | $12.28B | -$5.44B | -$4.49B |
| 2029 | $151.97B | 7.9% | $12.01B | -$5.32B | -$4.00B |
| 2030 | $148.62B | 7.9% | $11.74B | -$5.20B | -$3.55B |
| 2031 | $145.35B | 7.9% | $11.48B | -$5.09B | -$3.16B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $117.64 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +12.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $207.32 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 12.8 | P/E |
| Future price | $2,653.72 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1,647.75 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1,153.43 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $823.88 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$3.66 | -$4.145 | -$4.806 |
| 10.0% | -$3.165 | -$3.522 | -$3.99 |
| 11.0% | -$2.774 | -$3.046 | -$3.391 |