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Target Corporation
TGTConsumer DefensiveNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $104.78B | 3.5% | $3.67B | $2.83B | N/A |
| 2027 | $108.24B | 3.5% | $3.79B | $2.92B | $2.66B |
| 2028 | $111.81B | 3.5% | $3.91B | $3.02B | $2.49B |
| 2029 | $115.50B | 3.5% | $4.04B | $3.12B | $2.34B |
| 2030 | $119.31B | 3.5% | $4.18B | $3.22B | $2.20B |
| 2031 | $123.25B | 3.5% | $4.31B | $3.33B | $2.07B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $8.13 | 2026-01-31 |
| EPS growth | -8.2% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $5.30 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 12.9 | P/E |
| Future price | $68.374 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $42.455 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $29.719 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $21.228 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $67.928 | $80.303 | $97.179 |
| 10.0% | $55.362 | $64.486 | $76.418 |
| 11.0% | $45.445 | $52.392 | $61.192 |