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TAL Education Group
TALConsumer DefensiveNYSECN
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $3.02B | 17.6% | $531.54M | $286.91M | N/A |
| 2027 | $2.42B | 17.6% | $425.23M | $229.53M | $208.66M |
| 2028 | $1.93B | 17.6% | $340.19M | $183.62M | $151.76M |
| 2029 | $1.55B | 17.6% | $272.15M | $146.90M | $110.37M |
| 2030 | $1.24B | 17.6% | $217.72M | $117.52M | $80.27M |
| 2031 | $989.64M | 17.6% | $174.18M | $94.02M | $58.38M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.76 | 2026-02-28 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $28.941 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | $115.76 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $71.88 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $50.316 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $35.94 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $21.594 | $22.245 | $23.133 |
| 10.0% | $20.91 | $21.391 | $22.019 |
| 11.0% | $20.367 | $20.733 | $21.196 |