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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $30.87B | 3.6% | $1.11B | -$9.94B | N/A |
| 2027 | $37.97B | 3.6% | $1.37B | -$12.23B | -$11.12B |
| 2028 | $46.71B | 3.6% | $1.68B | -$15.04B | -$12.43B |
| 2029 | $57.45B | 3.6% | $2.07B | -$18.50B | -$13.90B |
| 2030 | $70.66B | 3.6% | $2.54B | -$22.75B | -$15.54B |
| 2031 | $86.91B | 3.6% | $3.13B | -$27.99B | -$17.38B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $42.43 | 2024-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +58.8% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $428.48 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 7.4 | P/E |
| Future price | $3,170.72 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1,968.76 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1,378.14 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $984.38 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$95.261 | -$106.38 | -$121.542 |
| 10.0% | -$84.117 | -$92.314 | -$103.034 |
| 11.0% | -$75.348 | -$81.59 | -$89.496 |