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The Swatch Group AG
SWGAFConsumer CyclicalOTCCH
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $6.28B | 1.0% | $62.80M | $100.48M | N/A |
| 2027 | $7.55B | 1.0% | $75.49M | $120.78M | $109.80M |
| 2028 | $9.07B | 1.0% | $90.73M | $145.17M | $119.98M |
| 2029 | $10.91B | 1.0% | $109.06M | $174.50M | $131.10M |
| 2030 | $13.11B | 1.0% | $131.09M | $209.75M | $143.26M |
| 2031 | $15.76B | 1.0% | $157.57M | $252.12M | $156.54M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.058 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.004 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 3,036.3 | P/E |
| Future price | $13.647 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $8.474 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $5.931 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $4.237 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $118.49 | $129.11 | $143.58 |
| 10.0% | $107.84 | $115.67 | $125.90 |
| 11.0% | $99.457 | $105.41 | $112.96 |