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Sinovac Biotech Ltd.
SVAHealthcareNASDAQCN
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $448.27M | 1.0% | $4.48M | -$41.69M | N/A |
| 2027 | $627.58M | 1.0% | $6.28M | -$58.36M | -$53.06M |
| 2028 | $878.61M | 1.0% | $8.79M | -$81.71M | -$67.53M |
| 2029 | $1.23B | 1.0% | $12.30M | -$114.39M | -$85.95M |
| 2030 | $1.72B | 1.0% | $17.22M | -$160.15M | -$109.39M |
| 2031 | $2.41B | 1.0% | $24.11M | -$224.21M | -$139.22M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$1.06 | 2023-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $85.157 | $81.885 | $77.425 |
| 10.0% | $88.413 | $86.001 | $82.848 |
| 11.0% | $90.971 | $89.135 | $86.809 |