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Starwood Property Trust, Inc.
STWDReal EstateNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.88B | 21.9% | $411.76M | $708.83M | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.51B | 21.9% | $331.47M | $570.61M | $518.73M |
| 2028 | $1.22B | 21.9% | $266.83M | $459.34M | $379.62M |
| 2029 | $980.81M | 21.9% | $214.80M | $369.77M | $277.81M |
| 2030 | $789.55M | 21.9% | $172.91M | $297.66M | $203.31M |
| 2031 | $635.59M | 21.9% | $139.19M | $239.62M | $148.78M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $1.22 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +8.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $1.793 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 14.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $26.351 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $16.362 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $11.453 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $8.181 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$50.115 | -$49.136 | -$47.802 |
| 10.0% | -$51.14 | -$50.419 | -$49.475 |
| 11.0% | -$51.955 | -$51.406 | -$50.71 |