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Steel Dynamics, Inc.
STLDBasic MaterialsNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $18.18B | 6.5% | $1.18B | $508.94M | N/A |
| 2027 | $17.90B | 6.5% | $1.16B | $501.31M | $455.74M |
| 2028 | $17.64B | 6.5% | $1.15B | $493.79M | $408.09M |
| 2029 | $17.37B | 6.5% | $1.13B | $486.38M | $365.43M |
| 2030 | $17.11B | 6.5% | $1.11B | $479.09M | $327.22M |
| 2031 | $16.85B | 6.5% | $1.10B | $471.90M | $293.01M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $7.99 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -18.9% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $2.803 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 21.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $59.147 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $36.726 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $25.708 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $18.363 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $27.944 | $35.296 | $45.321 |
| 10.0% | $20.445 | $25.865 | $32.953 |
| 11.0% | $14.521 | $18.648 | $23.875 |