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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.80T | 5.2% | $93.53B | $68.35B | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.84T | 5.2% | $95.58B | $69.85B | $63.50B |
| 2028 | $1.88T | 5.2% | $97.69B | $71.39B | $59.00B |
| 2029 | $1.92T | 5.2% | $99.84B | $72.96B | $54.81B |
| 2030 | $1.96T | 5.2% | $102.03B | $74.56B | $50.93B |
| 2031 | $2.01T | 5.2% | $104.28B | $76.20B | $47.32B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $150.58 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -0.5% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $146.85 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 15.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $2,305.59 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1,431.59 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1,002.11 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $715.80 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $9.784 | $10.782 | $12.142 |
| 10.0% | $8.771 | $9.506 | $10.468 |
| 11.0% | $7.971 | $8.53 | $9.24 |