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STAG Industrial, Inc.
STAGReal EstateNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $845.18M | 32.4% | $273.84M | $401.46M | N/A |
| 2027 | $676.15M | 32.4% | $219.07M | $321.17M | $291.97M |
| 2028 | $540.92M | 32.4% | $175.26M | $256.94M | $212.34M |
| 2029 | $432.73M | 32.4% | $140.21M | $205.55M | $154.43M |
| 2030 | $346.19M | 32.4% | $112.16M | $164.44M | $112.31M |
| 2031 | $276.95M | 32.4% | $89.73M | $131.55M | $81.68M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $1.46 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +40.4% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $7.965 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 25.2 | P/E |
| Future price | $200.72 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $124.63 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $87.242 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $62.315 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$6.735 | -$5.704 | -$4.296 |
| 10.0% | -$7.818 | -$7.057 | -$6.062 |
| 11.0% | -$8.679 | -$8.10 | -$7.366 |