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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $13.71B | 13.4% | $1.84B | -$6.05B | N/A |
| 2027 | $14.33B | 13.4% | $1.92B | -$6.32B | -$5.74B |
| 2028 | $14.97B | 13.4% | $2.01B | -$6.60B | -$5.46B |
| 2029 | $15.65B | 13.4% | $2.10B | -$6.90B | -$5.18B |
| 2030 | $16.35B | 13.4% | $2.19B | -$7.21B | -$4.93B |
| 2031 | $17.09B | 13.4% | $2.29B | -$7.54B | -$4.68B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.75 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -38.1% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.25 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 31.4 | P/E |
| Future price | $7.847 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $4.873 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $3.411 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $2.436 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$205.055 | -$222.428 | -$246.117 |
| 10.0% | -$187.434 | -$200.243 | -$216.992 |
| 11.0% | -$173.531 | -$183.284 | -$195.637 |