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SPS Commerce, Inc.
SPSCTechnologyNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $751.50M | 12.4% | $93.19M | $152.56M | N/A |
| 2027 | $810.12M | 12.4% | $100.46M | $164.45M | $149.50M |
| 2028 | $873.31M | 12.4% | $108.29M | $177.28M | $146.51M |
| 2029 | $941.43M | 12.4% | $116.74M | $191.11M | $143.58M |
| 2030 | $1.01B | 12.4% | $125.84M | $206.02M | $140.71M |
| 2031 | $1.09B | 12.4% | $135.66M | $222.09M | $137.90M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.46 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +18.8% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $5.821 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 36.2 | P/E |
| Future price | $210.73 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $130.85 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $91.593 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $65.423 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $46.538 | $51.841 | $59.071 |
| 10.0% | $41.175 | $45.084 | $50.196 |
| 11.0% | $36.945 | $39.922 | $43.692 |