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San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited
SMGLFConsumer DefensiveOTCHK
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $737.15M | 10.3% | $75.93M | $78.88M | N/A |
| 2027 | $810.87M | 10.3% | $83.52M | $86.76M | $78.88M |
| 2028 | $891.95M | 10.3% | $91.87M | $95.44M | $78.88M |
| 2029 | $981.15M | 10.3% | $101.06M | $104.98M | $78.88M |
| 2030 | $1.08B | 10.3% | $111.16M | $115.48M | $78.88M |
| 2031 | $1.19B | 10.3% | $122.28M | $127.03M | $78.88M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.20 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $2.097 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 6.5 | P/E |
| Future price | $13.631 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $8.464 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $5.925 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $4.232 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $0.62 | $0.683 | $0.77 |
| 10.0% | $0.555 | $0.602 | $0.663 |
| 11.0% | $0.505 | $0.541 | $0.586 |