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The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
SMGBasic MaterialsNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $3.41B | 4.3% | $146.76M | $273.05M | N/A |
| 2027 | $3.58B | 4.3% | $154.10M | $286.70M | $260.64M |
| 2028 | $3.76B | 4.3% | $161.81M | $301.04M | $248.79M |
| 2029 | $3.95B | 4.3% | $169.90M | $316.09M | $237.48M |
| 2030 | $4.15B | 4.3% | $178.39M | $331.89M | $226.69M |
| 2031 | $4.36B | 4.3% | $187.31M | $348.49M | $216.38M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.47 | 2025-09-30 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $25.90 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 22.6 | P/E |
| Future price | $585.34 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $363.45 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $254.41 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $181.72 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $34.171 | $43.074 | $55.215 |
| 10.0% | $25.144 | $31.708 | $40.292 |
| 11.0% | $18.023 | $23.021 | $29.352 |