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Silicon Motion Technology Corporation
SIMOTechnologyNASDAQHK
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $885.63M | 13.9% | $123.10M | $6.20M | N/A |
| 2027 | $990.13M | 13.9% | $137.63M | $6.93M | $6.30M |
| 2028 | $1.11B | 13.9% | $153.87M | $7.75M | $6.40M |
| 2029 | $1.24B | 13.9% | $172.02M | $8.66M | $6.51M |
| 2030 | $1.38B | 13.9% | $192.32M | $9.69M | $6.62M |
| 2031 | $1.55B | 13.9% | $215.02M | $10.83M | $6.72M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $14.60 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +12.7% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $26.544 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 6.3 | P/E |
| Future price | $167.23 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $103.84 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $72.685 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $51.918 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $109.95 | $115.18 | $122.32 |
| 10.0% | $104.67 | $108.53 | $113.58 |
| 11.0% | $100.51 | $103.45 | $107.17 |