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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $33.66B | 31.2% | $10.50B | -$1.18B | N/A |
| 2027 | $34.10B | 31.2% | $10.64B | -$1.19B | -$1.08B |
| 2028 | $34.54B | 31.2% | $10.78B | -$1.21B | -$999.05M |
| 2029 | $34.99B | 31.2% | $10.92B | -$1.22B | -$920.03M |
| 2030 | $35.44B | 31.2% | $11.06B | -$1.24B | -$847.26M |
| 2031 | $35.90B | 31.2% | $11.20B | -$1.26B | -$780.25M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $63.21 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -8.6% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $40.32 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 8.5 | P/E |
| Future price | $342.72 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $212.80 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $148.96 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $106.40 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $4.543 | $3.894 | $3.009 |
| 10.0% | $5.203 | $4.725 | $4.099 |
| 11.0% | $5.725 | $5.36 | $4.899 |