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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.41T | 2.2% | $31.07B | $24.01B | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.22T | 2.2% | $26.82B | $20.72B | $18.84B |
| 2028 | $1.05T | 2.2% | $23.14B | $17.88B | $14.78B |
| 2029 | $907.82B | 2.2% | $19.97B | $15.43B | $11.60B |
| 2030 | $783.45B | 2.2% | $17.24B | $13.32B | $9.10B |
| 2031 | $676.12B | 2.2% | $14.87B | $11.49B | $7.14B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $167.83 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $13.05 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 35.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $465.90 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $289.29 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $202.50 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $144.64 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$58.924 | -$57.174 | -$54.789 |
| 10.0% | -$60.738 | -$59.448 | -$57.761 |
| 11.0% | -$62.176 | -$61.194 | -$59.95 |