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Shopify Inc.
SHOPTechnologyNASDAQCA
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $11.56B | 10.7% | $1.24B | $2.01B | N/A |
| 2027 | $13.52B | 10.7% | $1.45B | $2.35B | $2.14B |
| 2028 | $15.82B | 10.7% | $1.69B | $2.75B | $2.27B |
| 2029 | $18.51B | 10.7% | $1.98B | $3.22B | $2.42B |
| 2030 | $21.65B | 10.7% | $2.32B | $3.77B | $2.57B |
| 2031 | $25.34B | 10.7% | $2.71B | $4.41B | $2.74B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.94 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -39.1% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.079 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 169.9 | P/E |
| Future price | $13.379 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $8.307 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $5.815 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $4.154 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $29.783 | $33.139 | $37.716 |
| 10.0% | $26.409 | $28.883 | $32.119 |
| 11.0% | $23.751 | $25.635 | $28.022 |