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Shimao Services Holdings Limited
SHMSFReal EstateOTCCN
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $7.68B | 1.3% | $99.80M | $767.67M | N/A |
| 2027 | $7.90B | 1.3% | $102.69M | $789.93M | $718.12M |
| 2028 | $8.13B | 1.3% | $105.67M | $812.84M | $671.77M |
| 2029 | $8.36B | 1.3% | $108.73M | $836.41M | $628.41M |
| 2030 | $8.61B | 1.3% | $111.89M | $860.67M | $587.85M |
| 2031 | $8.86B | 1.3% | $115.13M | $885.63M | $549.90M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.041 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.426 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 9.9 | P/E |
| Future price | $4.215 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $2.617 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1.832 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1.308 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $0.823 | $0.898 | $1.00 |
| 10.0% | $0.748 | $0.803 | $0.874 |
| 11.0% | $0.688 | $0.73 | $0.783 |