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Shell plc
SHELEnergyNYSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $266.89B | 6.7% | $17.88B | $21.88B | N/A |
| 2027 | $267.15B | 6.7% | $17.90B | $21.91B | $19.92B |
| 2028 | $267.42B | 6.7% | $17.92B | $21.93B | $18.12B |
| 2029 | $267.69B | 6.7% | $17.94B | $21.95B | $16.49B |
| 2030 | $267.96B | 6.7% | $17.95B | $21.97B | $15.01B |
| 2031 | $268.22B | 6.7% | $17.97B | $21.99B | $13.66B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $6.02 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +19.2% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $14.487 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 12.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $175.29 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $108.84 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $76.19 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $54.421 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $80.678 | $93.29 | $110.49 |
| 10.0% | $67.834 | $77.132 | $89.292 |
| 11.0% | $57.691 | $64.771 | $73.739 |