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Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.
SHECYBasic MaterialsOTCJP
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.73T | 18.4% | $502.17B | $379.36B | N/A |
| 2027 | $2.85T | 18.4% | $525.27B | $396.81B | $360.74B |
| 2028 | $2.99T | 18.4% | $549.44B | $415.06B | $343.03B |
| 2029 | $3.12T | 18.4% | $574.71B | $434.16B | $326.19B |
| 2030 | $3.27T | 18.4% | $601.15B | $454.13B | $310.17B |
| 2031 | $3.42T | 18.4% | $628.80B | $475.02B | $294.95B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $134.22 | 2026-03-31 |
| EPS growth | -0.4% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $131.56 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 24.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $3,170.52 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1,968.65 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1,378.05 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $984.32 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $13.242 | $14.496 | $16.207 |
| 10.0% | $11.97 | $12.894 | $14.104 |
| 11.0% | $10.966 | $11.67 | $12.562 |