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Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.
SHECFBasic MaterialsOTCJP
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.59T | 18.4% | $476.59B | $360.03B | N/A |
| 2027 | $2.73T | 18.4% | $502.33B | $379.48B | $344.98B |
| 2028 | $2.88T | 18.4% | $529.45B | $399.97B | $330.55B |
| 2029 | $3.03T | 18.4% | $558.04B | $421.57B | $316.73B |
| 2030 | $3.20T | 18.4% | $588.18B | $444.33B | $303.48B |
| 2031 | $3.37T | 18.4% | $619.94B | $468.32B | $290.79B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $254.05 | 2026-03-31 |
| EPS growth | -5.7% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $189.44 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 24.2 | P/E |
| Future price | $4,584.51 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $2,846.62 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1,992.63 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1,423.31 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $26.94 | $29.493 | $32.974 |
| 10.0% | $24.352 | $26.235 | $28.696 |
| 11.0% | $22.311 | $23.744 | $25.56 |