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Seiren Co.,Ltd.
SERNFConsumer CyclicalOTCJP
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $172.85B | 9.1% | $15.73B | $7.43B | N/A |
| 2027 | $173.54B | 9.1% | $15.79B | $7.46B | $6.78B |
| 2028 | $174.23B | 9.1% | $15.86B | $7.49B | $6.19B |
| 2029 | $174.93B | 9.1% | $15.92B | $7.52B | $5.65B |
| 2030 | $175.63B | 9.1% | $15.98B | $7.55B | $5.16B |
| 2031 | $176.33B | 9.1% | $16.05B | $7.58B | $4.71B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $265.23 | 2026-03-31 |
| EPS growth | +10.1% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $429.10 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 11.6 | P/E |
| Future price | $4,977.57 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $3,090.68 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $2,163.47 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1,545.34 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $13.969 | $15.151 | $16.762 |
| 10.0% | $12.766 | $13.637 | $14.776 |
| 11.0% | $11.816 | $12.48 | $13.32 |