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Serco Group plc
SECCFIndustrialsOTCGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $4.95B | 2.9% | $143.67M | $406.24M | N/A |
| 2027 | $5.14B | 2.9% | $149.13M | $421.67M | $383.34M |
| 2028 | $5.34B | 2.9% | $154.80M | $437.70M | $361.73M |
| 2029 | $5.54B | 2.9% | $160.68M | $454.33M | $341.34M |
| 2030 | $5.75B | 2.9% | $166.78M | $471.59M | $322.10M |
| 2031 | $5.97B | 2.9% | $173.12M | $489.51M | $303.95M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.14 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $1.468 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 19.5 | P/E |
| Future price | $28.626 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $17.775 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $12.442 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $8.887 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $6.034 | $6.835 | $7.928 |
| 10.0% | $5.22 | $5.811 | $6.584 |
| 11.0% | $4.578 | $5.028 | $5.598 |