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Smith Douglas Homes Corp.
SDHCReal EstateNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $971.12M | 1.1% | $10.68M | -$36.90M | N/A |
| 2027 | $922.56M | 1.1% | $10.15M | -$35.06M | -$31.87M |
| 2028 | $876.43M | 1.1% | $9.64M | -$33.30M | -$27.52M |
| 2029 | $832.61M | 1.1% | $9.16M | -$31.64M | -$23.77M |
| 2030 | $790.98M | 1.1% | $8.70M | -$30.06M | -$20.53M |
| 2031 | $751.43M | 1.1% | $8.27M | -$28.55M | -$17.73M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $1.16 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -34.6% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.139 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 14.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $1.957 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1.215 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $0.851 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $0.608 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$5.869 | -$6.467 | -$7.283 |
| 10.0% | -$5.256 | -$5.697 | -$6.274 |
| 11.0% | -$4.771 | -$5.107 | -$5.533 |