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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $27.61B | 21.7% | $5.99B | -$13.80B | N/A |
| 2027 | $28.77B | 21.7% | $6.24B | -$14.38B | -$13.08B |
| 2028 | $29.98B | 21.7% | $6.50B | -$14.99B | -$12.39B |
| 2029 | $31.23B | 21.7% | $6.78B | -$15.62B | -$11.73B |
| 2030 | $32.55B | 21.7% | $7.06B | -$16.27B | -$11.11B |
| 2031 | $33.91B | 21.7% | $7.36B | -$16.96B | -$10.53B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $6.80 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +55.3% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $61.428 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 9.8 | P/E |
| Future price | $601.99 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $373.79 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $261.65 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $186.90 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$176.191 | -$210.222 | -$256.628 |
| 10.0% | -$141.663 | -$166.754 | -$199.564 |
| 11.0% | -$114.42 | -$133.524 | -$157.722 |